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Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Congress Showdowns Set for November, with Rep. Mike Levin at Greatest Risk

PoliticsCongress Showdowns Set for November, with Rep. Mike Levin at Greatest Risk

Rep. Mike Levin sees possibility that the Supreme Court leaker was a conservative justice "trying to lock this opinion in."Rep. Mike Levin will likely face his 2020 Republican opponent Brian Maryott  of San Juan Capistrano. Photo by Chris Stone

Incumbent members of Congress in San Diego County’s delegation lost no sleep Tuesday, with only Democratic Rep. Mike Levin in a two-county district that wasn’t rated “solidly” behind him.

According to three predictors, Levin of Orange and San Diego County’s 49th District is running in a region deemed only “likely” or “leaning” Democratic.

The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales and Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball are well-known for their astute accuracy.

Not as well-known: some of the challengers in the county’s five House districts.

Here’s how they sorted out in the primary:

48th District: Rep. Darrell Issa (GOP)

Former Santee Councilman Stephen Houlahan, a Democrat, was set to be the runoff challenger with 32.9% after defeating Lucinda Jahn (Independent) and Matthew Rascon (Democrat). Issa led all with 56.9%

49th District: Rep. Levin (Democrat)

The second runoff spot was likely going, again, to former San Juan Capistrano Councilman Brian Maryott (GOP) — with 17.4% — who easily outpolled fellow Republicans Lisa Bartlett, Josiah O’Neil, Christopher Rodriguez and Renee Taylor as well as Democrat Nadia Smalley. Levin, also a San Juan Capistrano resident, led with 54.6%.

50th District: Rep. Scott Peters (Democrat)

Five-term Peters dominated early returns with 54.6% of the vote — well ahead of likely runoff foe Corey Gustafson at 29.4% — a Republican. Also-rans were Republican David Chiddick, Adam Schindler (Independent) and Kylie Taitano (Democrat).

51st District: Rep. Sara Jacobs (Democrat)

Republican Stan Caplan was the easy winner in the runoff derby with 35.4% behind runaway first-term incumbent Jacobs at 62.6%. Socialist Jose Cortes of the Peace and Freedom Party of California had under 2% and Democratic write-in Barrett Holman Leak trailed with 0.01% — 12 votes in early tally.

In a victory statement, Jacobs said: “I couldn’t be prouder of the work we’ve done, and I’m so grateful to everyone who came out to show their support. Representing San Diego in Congress over the past year and a half has been an honor, and I’m eager to continue fighting for affordable child care, support for our military families, common-sense gun safety laws, and lowering costs for hardworking San Diegans.”

52nd District: Rep. Juan Vargas (Democrat)

Five-term incumbent Vargas led with 61.6% in first returns, well ahead of Republican Tyler Geffeney at 29.2% and Democrat Joaquin Vazquez at 9.1%.

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